A Study of Equity Investment Strategies for Volatility Management and Optimisation Based on Historical Volatility
Journal: Modern Economics & Management Forum DOI: 10.32629/memf.v5i6.3183
Abstract
This paper designs and optimizes a series of quantitative investment strategies for the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets (2012-2019), leveraging volatility management and multi-factor models with Wind database data, to boost returns and stabilize portfolios. Using MATLAB, we simulate and visualize strategy returns. The initial strategy selects low-volatility stocks for equal-weighted investment based on historical volatility, outperforming the market but yielding unstable returns. To improve, we propose: 1) allocating weights inversely proportional to volatility, 2) incorporating market return factors into a multi-factor model, and 3) enhancing strategy stability via rolling window analysis. The multi-factor model strategy demonstrates superior risk control and stable returns across time horizons, appealing to long-term investors. The optimized weighting strategy suits short-term, high-risk investors. Lastly, we assess the rolling window's impact on long and short-term investments to analyze its strengths and weaknesses for stock picking.
Keywords
quantitative investment, volatility management strategy, weight allocation, multi-factor model, rolling window analysis.
Full Text
PDF - Viewed/Downloaded: 0 TimesReferences
[1] Zhidan Jiang. Research on Volume-Volatility Relation in Chinese Stock Market [D]. Jilin University,2024.DOI:10.27162/d.cnki.gjlin.2024.003276.
[2] Yang Lan. An empirical study of the impact of idiosyncratic volatility on corporate bond yields in China [D]. Shanghai University of Finance and Economics,2023.DOI:10.27296/d.cnki.gshcu.2023.000529.
[3] Ying Liu. Empirical research on stock index volatility prediction and VaR measurement based on deep learning [D]. Anhui University of Finance & Economics,2023.DOI:10.26916/d.cnki.gahcc.2023.000657.
[4] Wei Y F, Zhao W. Momentum strategy, momentum crashes, and risk management: an empirical research based on Chinese commodity futures market[J]. Journal of University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,2022,39(5):593-614. DOI:10.7523/j.ucas.2020.0049.
[5] Jiawei Yan, Jingxiao Qian. Can fund investors benefit from volatility management?[R]. Hua An Securities Research Institute.
[2] Yang Lan. An empirical study of the impact of idiosyncratic volatility on corporate bond yields in China [D]. Shanghai University of Finance and Economics,2023.DOI:10.27296/d.cnki.gshcu.2023.000529.
[3] Ying Liu. Empirical research on stock index volatility prediction and VaR measurement based on deep learning [D]. Anhui University of Finance & Economics,2023.DOI:10.26916/d.cnki.gahcc.2023.000657.
[4] Wei Y F, Zhao W. Momentum strategy, momentum crashes, and risk management: an empirical research based on Chinese commodity futures market[J]. Journal of University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,2022,39(5):593-614. DOI:10.7523/j.ucas.2020.0049.
[5] Jiawei Yan, Jingxiao Qian. Can fund investors benefit from volatility management?[R]. Hua An Securities Research Institute.
Copyright © 2025 Jiajing Li
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License