Research on Asian Option Pricing Based on Uncertain Volatility

Journal: Modern Economics & Management Forum DOI: 10.32629/memf.v5i5.2883

Xiangpei Wang, Chang Yuan

North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou, Henan, China

Abstract

In this paper, we study the impact of introducing uncertainty volatility into Asian options pricing, with emphasis on the use of Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation. The traditional Asian option pricing model usually assumes that volatility is known and constant, but in the actual market, volatility is often uncertain and volatile. This paper first reviews the pricing theory of Asian options, and then introduces the hypothesis of uncertain volatility. By constructing the HJB equation based on uncertainty volatility, a new pricing method is proposed and verified by numerical simulation. The results show that after the introduction of uncertain volatility, the price range of Asian options expands significantly, reflecting higher market uncertainty and risk.

Keywords

Asian option, HJB equation, option pricing, uncertain volatility

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